gibev.com

1. Daily Polymarket Scan

Every day at midnight UK time the system pulls thousands of active markets on Polymarket across sports, crypto, politics, finance, elections, culture, and tech. It then filters for serious liquidity (> $10k 24h volume) and selects the most promising candidates.

2. Grok-4 Deep Reasoning Engine

For each candidate, Grok-4 gets the full question, current odds, volume, liquidity, closing date, plus live data (e.g. Bitcoin price) and the latest news/web/X sentiment.

It runs multi-layered probabilistic reasoning: historical patterns, momentum, sentiment, crowd biases, mean reversion, tail risks.

3. True Probability vs Market Price

Grok-4 estimates its own true probability. When it significantly differs from the market → +EV is detected.

Only edges **≥ +10% EV** make the cut. This is statistically meaningful mispricing — not noise.

4. Confidence Scoring

Grok-4 assigns **High / Medium / Low** confidence based on data quality, historical accuracy in similar events, and internal certainty.

5. Smart Staking Engine (1%–5% of Bankroll)

Dynamic, survival-first staking that scales with your bankroll:

• Starts at 1% base
• +3% boost for High confidence
• Up to +3% extra for huge edges
• Hard cap at 5% — never more
• Low-odds protection: ≤3.5% on <20% implied, ≤2% on <10%
• Grows with wins, shrinks with losses

6. Full Transparency

Every edge is clickable. You get:

• Grok-4’s full reasoning
• Confidence level
• Exact stake size
• Live countdown
• Direct Polymarket link
• Real-time P&L after resolution